Tsubetsu 7-Day Snow Forecast

Tsubetsu Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

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Updated 11 May 2026 03:43 PDT

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Tsubetsu

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 11 May.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Tsubetsu Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Tsubetsu?

Tsubetsu Snow Forecast Highlights - JMA
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (2,354ft)
Next Snow?
There is no snow currently in the forecast for Tsubetsu.

Long-range Snow Outlook for Tsubetsu

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 73°F
Min 31°F

Snow unlikely

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Tsubetsu Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Tsubetsu from OpenMeteo(JMA)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Mon 11	Clear spells.	Max 67°F Min 54°F
Tue 12	Clear sky.	Max 73°F Min 49°F
Wed 13	Fair.	Max 56°F Min 36°F
Thu 14	Clear sky.	Max 51°F Min 31°F
Fri 15	Fair.	Max 58°F Min 36°F
Sat 16	Fair.	Max 72°F Min 38°F
Sun 17	Cloudy.	Max 59°F Min 43°F

This Snow Forecast for Tsubetsu, Japan gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Tsubetsu, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Tsubetsu Snow Forecast updated at 03:43 PDT, next update expected 09:00 PDT.

Ensemble forecast for Tsubetsu, Japan at 1,608ft

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Japan Hotels Map

Snow Reliability

Tsubetsu enjoys reliable snow conditions, with an average snow depth of 150 cm during peak season. Regular snowfall ensures excellent skiing throughout the winter; check J2Ski for the latest snow updates and conditions.

Off-Piste Safety in Tsubetsu

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Tsubetsu, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.