Smugglers Notch 7-Day Snow Forecast

Smugglers Notch Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

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Updated 11 August 2026 05:40 PDT

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Smugglers Notch

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 11 August.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Smugglers Notch Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Smugglers Notch?

Smugglers Notch Snow Forecast Highlights - GFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (2,346ft)
Next Snow?
There is no snow currently in the forecast for Smugglers Notch.

Long-range Snow Outlook for Smugglers Notch

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 73°F
Min 47°F

Snow unlikely

Smugglers Notch Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Smugglers Notch from OpenMeteo(GFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Tue 11	Fair at altitude, cloudy below.	Max 73°F Min 61°F
Wed 12	Clear sky.	Max 71°F Min 59°F
Thu 13	Cloudy.	Max 73°F Min 55°F
Fri 14	Light drizzle.	Max 63°F Min 50°F
Sat 15	Cloudy.	Max 70°F Min 47°F
Sun 16	Cloudy.	Max 70°F Min 52°F
Mon 17	Light drizzle.	Max 64°F Min 53°F

No significant snowfall is forecast for this period.

This Snow Forecast for Smugglers Notch, United States gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Smugglers Notch, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Smugglers Notch Snow Forecast updated at 05:40 PDT, next update expected 11:00 PDT.

Ensemble forecast for Smugglers Notch, USA at 1,050ft

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

United States Accommodation (Apartments, Chalets, Hotels) Map

Snow Reliability

Smugglers Notch enjoys reliable snowfall, typically accumulating over 300 inches annually. Snow depths are usually ample throughout the season, with periodic updates available on J2Ski for the latest conditions.

Off-Piste Safety in Smugglers Notch

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Smugglers Notch, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.