Sarikamis 7-Day Snow Forecast

Sarikamis Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

ECMWF IFS

GFS

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Updated 05 May 2026 00:47 PDT

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Sarikamis

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 5 May.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Sarikamis Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Sarikamis?

Sarikamis Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (6,781ft)
Next Snow Expected	17 May
Next Snow Amount	1in
Next 48 Hours	-
Next 7 Days	-

Long-range Snow Outlook for Sarikamis

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 68°F
Min 36°F

1in New Snow

Snow Line from 8,304ft to 5,427ft, with rain below.

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Sarikamis Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Sarikamis from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Tue 05	Clear spells at altitude, light drizzle below.	Max 54°F Min 37°F
Wed 06	up to 1in New Snow Light snow at altitude, light drizzle below. Snow Line from 8,304ft to 5,427ft, with rain below.	Max 54°F Min 36°F
Thu 07	Snow showers at altitude, rain showers below.	Max 57°F Min 36°F
Fri 08	New Snow Light snow at altitude, light drizzle below. Snow Line from 6,637ft to 6,385ft, with rain below.	Max 55°F Min 40°F
Sat 09	Clear spells.	Max 60°F Min 40°F
Sun 10	Clear sky.	Max 66°F Min 42°F
Mon 11	Light drizzle.	Max 68°F Min 45°F

This Snow Forecast for Sarikamis, Turkey gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Sarikamis, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Sarikamis Snow Forecast updated at 00:47 PDT, next update expected 06:00 PDT.

Ensemble forecast for Sarikamis, Turkey at 4,921ft

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Reliability

Sarikamis enjoys reliable snow conditions, with average snow depth reaching up to 150 cm during peak season. For the latest snow reports and updates, be sure to visit J2Ski.

Off-Piste Safety in Sarikamis

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Sarikamis, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.