Mount Elbrus 7-Day Snow Forecast

Mount Elbrus Long-Range Snow Forecast

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Long-Range Snow Forecast for Mount Elbrus

This is the Long-range (10, 14 and 45 day)Snow Forecast for Mount Elbrus from 18 January.

Updated 17 January 2026 21:12 PST.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Mount Elbrus Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Mount Elbrus?

Mount Elbrus Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (9,482ft)
Next Snow Expected	23 January
Next Snow Amount	3in
Next 48 Hours	-
Next 7 Days	5in

Long-range Snow Outlook for Mount Elbrus

Snowfall

Snow Line

5in New Snow

Snow falling to resort level (6,496ft).

Mount Elbrus has up to 8in new snow forecast in the next 14 days.*
ECMWF IFS - at altitude

Mount Elbrus Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Mount Elbrus from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Sun 18	Clear spells.	Max 21°F Min 12°F
Mon 19	Light snow at altitude, light rain showers below.	Max 25°F Min 11°F
Tue 20	Cloudy.	Max 18°F Min 7°F
Wed 21	Clear sky at altitude, fair below.	Max 16°F Min 6°F
Thu 22	New Snow Light snow showers. Snow falling to resort level (6,496ft).	Max 26°F Min 12°F
Fri 23	2in to 3in New Snow Heavy snow showers at altitude, light rain below. Snow falling to resort level (6,496ft).	Max 28°F Min 24°F
Sat 24	1in to 2in New Snow Snow showers. Snow falling to resort level (6,496ft).	Max 29°F Min 25°F

This Snow Forecast for Mount Elbrus, Russia gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Mount Elbrus, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Mount Elbrus Snow Forecast updated at 21:12 PST, next update expected 00:00 PST.

Ensemble forecast for Mount Elbrus, Russia at 6,496ft

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Off-Piste Safety in Mount Elbrus

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Mount Elbrus, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.