Manganui 7-Day Snow Forecast

Manganui Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

ECMWF IFS

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Updated 06 September 2026 17:43 PDT

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Manganui

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 7 September.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Manganui Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Manganui?

Manganui Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (4,823ft)
Next Snow Expected	10 September
Next Snow Amount	1in
Next 48 Hours	-
Next 7 Days	2in

Long-range Snow Outlook for Manganui

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 43°F
Min 26°F

4in New Snow

Snow Line from 4,741ft to resort level (4,134ft).

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Manganui Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Manganui from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Mon 07	New Snow Light snow. Snow Line from 4,741ft to resort level (4,134ft).	Max 40°F Min 31°F
Tue 08	Cloudy.	Max 43°F Min 31°F
Wed 09	Light drizzle.	Max 42°F Min 30°F
Thu 10	up to 2in New Snow Light snow. Snow Line from 4,688ft to resort level (4,134ft).	Max 37°F Min 29°F
Fri 11	New Snow Light snow. Snow Line from 4,639ft to resort level (4,134ft).	Max 38°F Min 26°F
Sat 12	New Snow Light snow at altitude, light drizzle below. Snow Line from 4,587ft to 4,537ft, with rain below.	Max 40°F Min 35°F
Sun 13	New Snow Light snow at altitude, light drizzle below. Snow Line from 4,639ft to 4,337ft, with rain below.	Max 40°F Min 35°F

This Snow Forecast for Manganui, New Zealand gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Manganui, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Manganui Snow Forecast updated at 17:43 PDT, next update expected 23:00 PDT.

Ensemble forecast for Manganui, New Zealand at 4,134ft

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Reliability

Manganui is known for its reliable snow conditions, typically featuring a snow depth of 1-3 meters and consistent snowfall throughout the season. For the latest updates on snow conditions, visit J2Ski.

Off-Piste Safety in Manganui

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Manganui, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.